Fresno St
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 91.1632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 A Michigan B10 ( 7- 5, 95.2) 10-30 907 H Sacro. St 46-30 914 H NM St CUSA ( 3- 9, 84.4) 48- 0 921 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 38-21 928 A UNLV MW (10- 3, 95.0) 14-59 1012 H Wash St P12 ( 8- 4, 92.9) 17-25 1018 A Nevada MW ( 3-10, 88.7) 24-21 1026 H San Jose St MW ( 7- 5, 91.8) 33-10 1102 H Hawaii MW ( 5- 7, 89.5) 20-21 1109 A Air Force MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 28-36 1123 H Colorado St MW ( 8- 4, 92.0) 28-22 1130 A UCLA B10 ( 5- 7, 93.7) 13-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
831 A Michigan 10-30 -20 -5 -0.02
914 H NM St 48- 0 48 8 0.00
921 A New Mexico 38-21 17 1 ++ 4.18
928 A UNLV 14-59 -45 -5 -0.24
1012 H Wash St 17-25 -8 -1 -- -4.12
1018 A Nevada 24-21 3 2 1.48
1026 H San Jose St 33-10 23 0 ++ 4.71
1102 H Hawaii 20-21 -1 3 - -3.61
1109 A Air Force 28-36 -8 1 -- -5.84
1123 H Colorado St 28-22 6 0 ++ 4.98
1130 A UCLA 13-20 -7 -3 -1.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1012 H Wash St 17-25 -8 -1 -- -4.12 1109 A Air Force 28-36 -8 1 -- -5.84 1102 H Hawaii 20-21 -1 3 - -3.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 921 A New Mexico 38-21 17 1 ++ 4.18 1026 H San Jose St 33-10 23 0 ++ 4.71 1123 H Colorado St 28-22 6 0 ++ 4.98 |
Fresno St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ea Carolina | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| No Texas | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Rice | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So Florida | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Temple | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UAB | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UTSA | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colorado | |
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Jacksonv. St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Kennesaw St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Liberty | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| La Tech | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Middle Tenn | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| NM St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| SHouston St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fresno St | |
| UTEP | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Fresno St | |
| We Kentucky | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| UMass | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ball St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Bowl. Green | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Buffalo | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Cen Michigan | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ea Michigan | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Kent State | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| MiamiOH | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| No Illinois | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| We Michigan | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Colorado St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| New Mexico | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| San Diego St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Fresno St | |
| San Jose St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Fresno St | |
| Wyoming | Fresno St | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Fresno St | |
| Oregon St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Fresno St | |
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Arkansas State | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Coastal Car | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia So | |
| Georgia St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So Miss | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So Alabama | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| La-Monroe | Fresno St | Fresno St |
PowerWise = 54
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Michigan ( 7- 5, 95.2) 10-30 -4.66 13.59 0.91 1.10 -4.13
0 H NM St ( 3- 9, 84.4) 48- 0 -15.54 2.72 -0.91 1.10 1.99
0 A New Mexico ( 5- 7, 89.4) 38-21 -10.46 7.79 0.91 1.10 9.57
0 A UNLV (10- 3, 95.0) 14-59 -4.88 13.38 0.91 1.10 -4.37
0 H Wash St ( 8- 4, 92.9) 17-25 -6.95 11.30 -0.91 1.10 -8.65
0 A Nevada ( 3-10, 88.7) 24-21 -11.16 7.09 0.91 1.10 8.80
0 H San Jose St ( 7- 5, 91.8) 33-10 -8.12 10.13 -0.91 1.10 10.15
0 H Hawaii ( 5- 7, 89.5) 20-21 -10.44 7.81 -0.91 1.10 -12.49
0 A Air Force ( 5- 7, 89.4) 28-36 -10.48 7.77 0.91 1.10 -10.54
0 H Colorado St ( 8- 4, 92.0) 28-22 -7.85 10.40 -0.91 1.10 10.45
0 A UCLA ( 5- 7, 93.7) 13-20 -6.16 12.10 0.91 1.10 -5.78
------
-4.98
|
winning pts = 40.9724 losing points = -45.9560
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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